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Political Roundup: Monday, November 7

1851 Franchise compiles the day’s top trending political stories one day before voters head to the polls.

CNN: What to Watch for on Election Night

With polls set to open in less than 24 hours, both former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and businessman Donald Trump are making the final stops of their campaigns. They’re both focusing on picking up last minute support in swing states like Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and New Hampshire. For now, it’s unclear whether or not those down to the wire efforts will pay off. But in order to keep up with the election as votes start coming in on Tuesday, CNN made a list of the key states and signs to watch out for on election night.

If Trump wants to secure the 270 electoral votes needed to get to the White House, he’ll have to win key battleground states that were won by the Republican Party back in 2012 like North Carolina and Arizona. He’ll also need to flip states that were won by President Barack Obama in the last election, including Florida, Ohio and Iowa. Clinton, on the other hand, needs to ensure that her “blue wall” of states on the Great Lakes like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin will lean towards the Democratic side of the aisle in order for her to secure a seat in the Oval Office.

Voter turnout will also play a critical role in deciding whether or not Trump or Clinton will claim victory tomorrow. The number of women and minority voters, in particular, who show up to cast their votes have the potential to determine the next President of the United States.

CNBC: Wall Street’s Predictions for After the 2016 Election

Wall Street is preparing for the aftermath of the 2016 presidential election. And while the consensus seems to be that Clinton will walk away with the White House, there are concerns that because the race is so tight, it will spill over into Wednesday.

“With tight polling in several states, it looks quite possible that a final outcome in the presidential race might not become clear until early on November 9,” said Goldman Sachs’ economist Alec Phillips in a note released Monday. “The same holds true in the Senate races, where a delayed outcome in one seat could keep either party from winning an outright majority on election night.”

According to a recent CNBC article, Wall Street analysts generally agree that it’s likely that the S&P 500 will sell off if Trump wins, and at least hold gains if Clinton wins. JP Morgan analysts also predict that European and emerging market stocks should rise if Clinton is elected President. But regardless of who wins, Citi analysts expect consumer, discretionary, energy, financials and technology stocks to perform well overall.

TIME: Final Polls Show Clinton with a Slight Advantage

As the race for the White House nears the finish line, final poll numbers are being released that show Clinton with a slight lead over Trump. TIME Magazine notes that the latest poll from Bloomberg Politics has Clinton capturing 46 percent support, while Trump has 43. The final Politico/Morning Consult poll also shows Clinton with a slight advantage over Trump. That poll of 1,482 likely voters has Clinton leading Trump 45 to 42. And according to the latest polling numbers from the Washington Post/ABC News, eight out of 10 voters are prepared to accept the results of the election no matter which way it goes.

However, despite the polls leaning towards a victory for Hillary Clinton, a lot of those leads fall within polls’ margins of error. That means that with the election just one day away, there’s still time for both Clinton and Trump to pick up last minute votes during their final stops on the campaign trail. 

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